The political earthquake in Dakar sent shockwaves across the country after President Bassirou Diomaye Faye announced the dismissal of his long-time ally and former mentor, Prime Minister Ousmane Sonko. The move comes after months of escalating tensions between the two leaders, who together secured a historic victory in the March 2024 presidential election. Faye, who won with 54% of the vote in the first round, owed much of his success to Sonko’s support, despite the latter being barred from running due to a defamation conviction.

Once inseparable, the duo had built their political identity on the slogan « Diomaye moy Sonko, Sonko doy Diomaye » (“Diomaye is Sonko, Sonko is Diomaye”), symbolizing their unbreakable bond. Their rise to power—just 10 days after being released from prison—had electrified the nation, offering hope for an end to the chronic political and social crises that had plagued Senegal. Yet the promise of transformation has now faded, replaced by a bitter power struggle.

The rift between Faye and Sonko has paralyzed the government’s agenda. Key reforms remain stalled, particularly on critical issues like debt reduction. With Senegal’s debt-to-GDP ratio soaring to 132%—the highest in sub-Saharan Africa—Faye and Sonko had clashed over strategies to address the economic crisis left by previous administrations. The dispute over fiscal responsibility exposed deeper ideological and personal divisions.

A looming battle for 2029

The sacking of Ousmane Sonko has exposed a fragile political reality. Though removed from office, Sonko remains the de facto leader of the ruling Pastef party, which holds a commanding majority in the National Assembly (130 out of 165 seats). His influence among the youth and his vision for national sovereignty have made him the 2024 election’s true architect. His dismissal leaves Faye vulnerable, forcing him to navigate a fractured party and a restless public.

Analysts highlight Sonko’s enduring appeal. Pascal Boniface, director of the Institute for International and Strategic Relations (IRIS), noted after a recent debate in Dakar: “He embodies a new generation of leaders, untainted by corruption and committed to Senegal’s sovereignty. His vision is not anti-French, but rather seeks to redefine the relationship on more equitable terms.” Despite Senegal’s financial constraints, Sonko’s leadership continues to resonate with a population eager for change.